Tampa 7 Day Weather Forecast with Current Weather Conditions for , FL." />

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Tampa, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

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NWS Forecast for 2 Miles ESE Tampa FL

National Weather Service Forecast for: 2 Miles ESE Tampa FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL

Updated: 11:56 pm EDT May 15, 2026

Overnight Mostly Clear	Saturday Hot	Saturday Night Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy	Sunday Mostly Sunny then T-storms Likely	Sunday Night T-storms Likely then Chance Showers	Monday Mostly Sunny then T-storms Likely	Monday Night T-storms Likely then Slight Chance T-storms	Tuesday Sunny then Chance T-storms	Tuesday Night Chance T-storms
Lo 75 °F	Hi 95 °F	Lo 75 °F	Hi 94 °F	Lo 74 °F	Hi 94 °F	Lo 74 °F	Hi 91 °F	Lo 74 °F

Air Quality Alert

Overnight	Mostly clear, with a low around 75. East wind around 6 mph.
Saturday	Increasing clouds and hot, with a high near 95. Heat index values as high as 98. East wind around 8 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Saturday Night	A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 75. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Sunday	Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 99. East southeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night	Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday	Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. East wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night	Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday	A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 91. East southeast wind around 8 mph.
Tuesday Night	A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. East wind 6 to 8 mph.
Wednesday	A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 92.
Wednesday Night	A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Thursday	A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 92.
Thursday Night	A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Friday	A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92.

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 2 Miles ESE Tampa FL.

Weather Forecast Discussion

405
FXUS62 KTBW 152346
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
746 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures are expected each day through the
  weekend.

- Rain chances increase each day through the weekend, with mainly
  afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms possible
  each day into next week.

- Severe to extreme drought conditions continue for most areas.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

It has been another pleasant and hot day with rain-free conditions
this afternoon. Temperatures were well above average across west
central and southwest Florida with daytime high temperatures topping
out in the low to mid 90s. Rain-free conditions expected to continue
overnight. Overnight lows will dip into the upper 60s to low 70s
with daytime highs on Saturday reaching the low to mid 90s once
again. No changes needed to current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

VFR and rain-free conditions expected through the period. Light
winds less than 10 knots expected overnight, then winds will pick up
a bit on Saturday afternoon to around 10-15 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 742 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026

Northwest winds continue this evening with high pressure over the
region. By this weekend, southeast to east flow will establish,
turning onshore at the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze.
Winds will generally remain below headlines, but thunderstorms could
shift offshore during the late afternoon and evening hours each day,
leading to locally higher winds and seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  75  92  76  91 /  10  20  10  60
FMY  73  94  74  94 /  10  10  10  80
GIF  72  92  73  91 /   0  30  20  70
SRQ  73  92  73  92 /   0  10   0  60
BKV  69  94  70  92 /   0  30  20  60
SPG  75  92  76  93 /   0  10  10  50

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 7
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby

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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS

Script developed by: El Dorado Weather

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